Sadly, none of the big rockets we hoped to see fly in 2020 actually will

Which will fly first: NASA’s SLS rocket or SpaceX’s Super Heavy booster?

Artist's view of the configuration of Ariane 6 using four boosters on the ELA-4 launch pad together with its mobile gantry.

Enlarge / Artist's view of the configuration of Ariane 6 using four boosters on the ELA-4 launch pad together with its mobile gantry. (credit: ESA-D. Ducros)

This was supposed to be the year of the big rocket. At one point, as many as four large, powerful boosters were slated to take flight this year. Alas, we now know for sure that none of them are going to make it.

Two years ago, Ars published an article outlining the four large and powerful rockets expected to make their debuts: Arianespace's Ariane 6, NASA's Space Launch System, Blue Origin's New Glenn, and United Launch Alliance's Vulcan-Centaur. Our confidence in each of these boosters launching in 2020 ranged from medium-high for the Ariane 6 (oops!) to low for New Glenn and Vulcan-Centaur.

Given that none of these rockets will, in fact, debut this year, we decided to revisit the realm of heavy lift. We will also add three more contenders for a 2021 launch: Japan's H3 rocket, Northrup Grumman's Omega booster, and SpaceX's Super Heavy first stage. Here, we try to rank these seven vehicles by which will launch soonest. Please note these are estimates based upon vastly incomplete information and are almost certainly wrong.

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Der hohe Preis der Direktmandate

Plädoyer für die Abschaffung der Direktmandate, die den Bundestag durch Lokalkolorit statt Kompetenz aufblähen

Plädoyer für die Abschaffung der Direktmandate, die den Bundestag durch Lokalkolorit statt Kompetenz aufblähen

Decades later, these remakes haven’t fixed their racial representation issues

Final Fantasy VII and Trials of Mana both have problems portraying people of color.

Barret was a complex character in <em>Final Fantasy VII</em>. Then you hear him speak in the remake...

Enlarge / Barret was a complex character in Final Fantasy VII. Then you hear him speak in the remake...

April saw the release of both Final Fantasy VII Remake (FF7R) and Trials of Mana, two 20-plus-year-old roleplaying games recreated for modern times. These re-imaginings have received solid receptions from both critics and players and introduced these titles to a new generation of potential fans.

But despite all the changes introduced in the intervening decades, both remakes unfortunately still include some of the same issues present in their original inspirations. Specifically, these games still do a poor job portraying people of color, via Barret in Final Fantasy and Kevin in Trials of Mana.

Blaxpoitation Barret

In the Final Fantasy VII Remake, Barret Wallace is many things: he is a good parent, a vigilante, a commanding officer, a robust party member, and a hero. He is shown to be an interesting and endearing person in a number of different ways. Through him we learn of how dedicated Avalanche is to stopping Shinra. He’s the first character to fully accept that their eco-terrorism has serious consequences, such as harm to innocents. Barret also reminds players of the hypocrisy in working for an evil corporation.

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Monitore: 4K und 144 Hertz sind kein schlechter Scherz

Bildschirme wie der Asus ROG Swift PG27UQ zeigen, dass die Kombination aus 144 Hz und 4K-Auflösung auch außerhalb von Games sinnvoll ist. Von Oliver Nickel (4K, Display)

Bildschirme wie der Asus ROG Swift PG27UQ zeigen, dass die Kombination aus 144 Hz und 4K-Auflösung auch außerhalb von Games sinnvoll ist. Von Oliver Nickel (4K, Display)

Number of Online Pirates in Italy Steady But Research Summary Downplays Big Success Story

An Ipsos study carried out in Italy has found that the number of people engaged in piracy dropped slightly in 2019. Films remained the most popular content with pirates followed by TV shows. However, the report report summary almost succeeds in glossing over a big success story after individual acts of piracy dropped by a massive 28%.

From: TF, for the latest news on copyright battles, piracy and more.

pirate flagFor the past several years, market research company Ipsos has carried out an annual study on behalf of local anti-piracy outfit FAPAV.

The aim of the work is to measure overall piracy rates in the country, including the number of participants, content consumed, and the number of infringing acts.

The manner in which the data is presented this year is interesting since despite there being an impressive success story to be told, FAPAV isn’t drawing too much attention to it.

Number of Pirates Slightly Down

If we start with the volume of Italian citizens who consumed pirate content in 2019, there is a small victory for copyright holders. While in 2018 around 38% of the population were engaged in the consumption of illicit content, in 2019 that figure was down to 37%. An admittedly small reduction of course, but a reduction nonetheless.

In terms of the entire population, 31% engaged in film piracy (down two percentage points on 2018) while 23% consumed TV series, up two points on the previous year. Overall live sports piracy was up one point to 10% this year, with the percentage of people accessing sport, movies, and TV via IPTV devices also at 10% of the population.

Unsurprisingly, video content was most popular with pirates, with 84% consuming movies and 63% targeting TV shows. Software was obtained by 46% of pirate users with 27% admitting to accessing live sporting events. However, when drilling down into the number of infringing acts carried out by these unlicensed consumers, things start to get more interesting.

Number of Overall Acts is Massively Down

When reporting on a similar study last year, FAPAV noted that in respect of mainstream piracy of movies, TV shows, live sporting events etc, Italians carried out 578 million individual acts of infringement in 2018. That’s undoubtedly a large volume given that Italy has a population of around 60 million people. This year, however, that figure isn’t really dwelled upon but perhaps it should’ve been.

What the latest figures reveal is that during 2019, Italians carried out ‘just’ 414 million video infringements, down a massive 28% on the previous year. While the number of people engaging in piracy has dipped only slightly, it appears that the number of times they turn to pirate sources has dropped significantly, which tends to suggest that availability of legal sources and/or anti-piracy measures are really having an effect.

Italy Piracy Rates 2019

While the most important thing is the headline figure, there are some notable shifts within it that may be a cause for concern in the years ahead.

Among the 10 to 14-year-olds, for example, 39% use pirate sources, down 8% when compared to 2018. However, in the same group, the number of infringements increased from 31 million in 2018 to almost 40 million in 2019, up 27% with a reported strong interest in TV show content.

Also on the up is the illicit consumption of live sporting events. In 2018, an estimated 4.7 million Italians obtained such content illegally but in 2019, that had increased to 5.2 million. Also of concern to rightsholders in the sector is that overall infringing acts are up too, from 22 million in 2018 to 31 million in 2019.

Additional Data: Coronavirus Lockdown 2020

As our previous reports highlighted (1,2,3), lockdowns implemented by governments in response to the coronavirus pandemic had a profound effect on piracy rates.

The Ipsos study in Italy reveals that during the country’s lockdown, around 40% of the population engaged in piracy, up from the 37% reported on average in 2019. More worrying, however, is that individual acts of piracy went through the roof, from 69 million acts in an average two-month period in 2019 to 243 million during the two-month lockdown.

Users of pirate IPTV services also received a notable bump to 19%, up from the 10% reported in 2019. It’s estimated that during the lockdown, around 10% of Italians tried piracy for the first time, with around half going down the pirate IPTV route.

On a more positive note for the industry, however, 8% of the population became new subscribers to legal video platforms, with 76% of those reporting they will continue their subscriptions in the future.

The full report can be downloaded here (pdf)

From: TF, for the latest news on copyright battles, piracy and more.