Are scientists less prone to motivated reasoning?

Replication failures succeed in getting scientists to alter their opinions.

Image of a group of people in labcwoats.

Enlarge / Do these people look prone to motivated reasoning? (credit: Getty Images)

A new study lays out a bit of a conundrum in its opening paragraphs. It notes that scientific progress depends on the ability to update what ideas are considered acceptable in light of new evidence. But science itself has produced no shortage of evidence that people are terrible at updating their beliefs and suffer from issues like confirmation bias and motivated reasoning. Since scientists are, in fact, people, the problems with updating beliefs should severely limit science's ability to progress.

And there's some indication that it does. Max Planck, for example, wrote that "A new scientific truth does not triumph by convincing its opponents and making them see the light, but rather because its opponents eventually die and a new generation grows up."

But a new study suggests it's not as much of a problem as it might be. Taking advantage of a planned replication study, some scientists polled their peers before and after the results of the replication study came out. And most scientists seemed to update their beliefs without much trouble.

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Solidarität nur gegen politischen Nutzen

Die Corona-Politik ist alles andere, als von Gesundheitsschutz motiviert. Analyse und Bilanzierung neoliberaler Solidaritätsverweigerung (Teil 3 und Schluss)

Die Corona-Politik ist alles andere, als von Gesundheitsschutz motiviert. Analyse und Bilanzierung neoliberaler Solidaritätsverweigerung (Teil 3 und Schluss)

Activision Blizzard CEO Bobby Kotick says he would consider stepping down

He didn’t seem to get very specific about what it’d take, though.

A casually dressed man sits on a sofa.

Enlarge / Activision Blizzard CEO Bobby Kotick. (credit: Flickr / Bobby Kotick)

Embattled Activision Blizzard CEO Bobby Kotick told colleagues that he would consider stepping down and departing the organization if the company's deep-running sexual harassment and other cultural problems are not resolved.
This is according to a Wall Street Journal report citing "people familiar with his comments." The report didn't go into much detail, beyond noting that Kotick said he was open to stepping down if things don't improve quickly.

Earlier this year, the state of California announced a lawsuit over numerous complaints of sexual harassment and similar problems at the video game publisher and developer. Revelations and controversies have followed as numerous instances of employees facing a hostile work environment over the company's history have come to light.

While some of the offenders were let go from the company either before or after the investigation began, many of Activision Blizzard's concerned employees have organized to call for more action than the company's leadership has taken.

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COVID surge underway with daily cases already above 93K ahead of holiday

Midwest and Northeast see rapid COVID surge.

Masked travelers move through crowded airport.

Enlarge / LOS ANGELES, CA - NOVEMBER 19: Travelers at the United Terminal 7 at LAX airport as people prepare to travel over the Thanksgiving holiday. (credit: Getty | Al Seib)

Cases of COVID-19 are high and getting higher in the US as Americans head into a holiday week, marked by nationwide travel and jam-packed family gatherings

The country's daily average of new cases has jumped 29 percent over the last two weeks, and the current average for daily new cases is nearing 94,000, according to data tracking by The New York Times. Previously, national cases were this high at the beginning of November last year and at the beginning of this past August—as the country headed into two of the largest surges in the pandemic so far.

While cases are largely holding steady at high levels in the South and West, the Northeast and Midwest are seeing rapid surges. In the Northeast, Connecticut is seeing the fastest rise in cases nationwide, with a 117 percent jump in new daily cases over the last two weeks. New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Massachusetts rank after Connecticut for the country's sharpest case increases. Maine, meanwhile, is seeing its highest levels of cases and hospitalizations yet in the pandemic.

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This mini PC has an ARMv8 processor and AMD Radeon RX 550 graphics

Chinese chip designer Tianjin Phytium Technology introduces a 25-watt, 8-core ARMv8 processor designed for desktop computers late last year. And now you can buy a computer powered by the chip. Maybe. The DragonBox Shop is taking pre-orders for mini PC with a Phytium D2000 processor and AMD Radeon RX 550 graphics for €471 ($530) with […]

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Chinese chip designer Tianjin Phytium Technology introduces a 25-watt, 8-core ARMv8 processor designed for desktop computers late last year. And now you can buy a computer powered by the chip. Maybe.

The DragonBox Shop is taking pre-orders for mini PC with a Phytium D2000 processor and AMD Radeon RX 550 graphics for €471 ($530) with an estimated ship date of December 17, 2021, assuming enough people place pre-order to justify placing an order.

The computer measures 225 x 187 x 47mm (8.6″ x 7.4″ x 1.9″) and features HDMI 2.0b, Gigabit Ethernet, USB 3.0, and USB 2.0 ports as well as mic and line out audio jacks. It also comes with a USB Ethernet adapter since some Linux distributions may not support the built-in Ethernet card.

Under the hood it has 16GB of RAM and a 512GB SSD which is user replaceable thanks to an M.2 2280 slot. The discrete AMD graphics card is installed in a PCIe slot, so it should also be user replaceable.

At the heart of the system is Phytium’s D2000 processor, which is a 14nm, 64-bit processor with 8MP L2 cache, 4MB L3 cache, and support for DDR4-3200 memory and 34 PCIe 3.0 lanes.

According to the DragonBox Shop, Phytium recommends running Ubuntu Kylin on the computer, but it should also support other GNU/Linux distributions including Debian or OpenSUSE and it supports booting from a USB flash drive.

You can find more pictures of the Phytium D2000 ARMv8 mini PC as well as some additional details about the computer in the pyra-handheld forum.

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An “incident” with the James Webb Space Telescope has occurred

NASA is leading an anomaly review board to investigate and conduct additional testing.

Image of a person next to a set of hexagonal mirrors.

Enlarge / Technician standing near some of the segments of the James Webb Space Telescope primary mirror. (credit: NASA)

A short update on the projected launch date of the $10 billion James Webb Space Telescope came out of NASA on Monday, and it wasn't exactly a heart-warming missive.

The large, space-based telescope's "no earlier than" launch date will slip from December 18 to at least December 22 after an "incident" occurred during processing operations at the launch site in Kourou, French Guiana. That is where the telescope will launch on an Ariane 5 rocket provided by the European Space Agency.

"Technicians were preparing to attach Webb to the launch vehicle adapter, which is used to integrate the observatory with the upper stage of the Ariane 5 rocket," NASA said in a blog post. "A sudden, unplanned release of a clamp band—which secures Webb to the launch vehicle adapter—caused a vibration throughout the observatory."

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Who wants an electric superwagon? Porsche offers 590-hp GTS Sport Turismo

Electric? Check. Wagon? Check. 155 mph? Check.

2022 Taycan GTS Sport Turismo rear three-quarter view

Enlarge / The GTS Sport Turismo is the wagon version the Porsche Taycan always deserved. (credit: Porsche)

When Porsche announced the Taycan Cross Turismo, plenty of automotive enthusiasts raised half an eyebrow. The car checked so many boxes—wagon body style, blazing fast, all-electric. Yet at the same time, it was lifted by 0.8 inches and festooned with the kind of black plastic body cladding that mainstream marques use to “ruggedize” their crossovers. With the right tires, the Cross Turismo is apparently a capable off-roader, but the low-slung sedan screamed for a sporty wagon counterpart, like Porsche has done with the Panamera, not a pseudo-SUV.

Well, dream hard enough and Porsche shall answer, apparently. The automaker took the wraps off the Taycan GTS Sport Turismo at the Los Angeles Auto Show last week. The handsome wagon strips the Cross Turismo of its black wheel arches and drops its suspension back down to a suitably sporty height. It also adds a healthy dollop of power over the next-best 4S model at a price that’s significantly cheaper than the top-shelf Turbo, though with a starting price of $133,300, few people will consider it cheap.

Porsche is famous for tweaking its products ad infinitum, and the Taycan is no exception. The model was first introduced as a sedan with regular, 4S, and Turbo flavors, all of which carried over to the lifted-wagon Cross Turismo. Now, with the introduction of the Sport Turismo, Porsche is adding a GTS trim for the sedan and the wagon (but not the lifted wagon).

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GPD Pocket 3 benchmarks (mini-laptop with a Core i7-1195G7 processor)

The GPD Pocket 3 is a tiny, but versatile laptop with an 8 inch touchscreen display, a QWERTY keyboard that’s just (barely) large enough for touch-typing, and a hinge that allows you to fold the screen down over the keyboard and hold the computer like a tablet. A modular port system also lets you adjust […]

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The GPD Pocket 3 is a tiny, but versatile laptop with an 8 inch touchscreen display, a QWERTY keyboard that’s just (barely) large enough for touch-typing, and a hinge that allows you to fold the screen down over the keyboard and hold the computer like a tablet. A modular port system also lets you adjust the functionality of the computer.

Expected to ship in January following the conclusion of an Indiegogo crowdfunding campaign, the GPD Pocket 3 is also a surprisingly powerful little computer, with up to an Intel Core i7-1195G7 processor, 16GB of RAM and up to a 1TB PCIe NVMe SSD. I’ve been testing a pre-release demo unit for the past few weeks, and I’ll have a full review soon. But in this article I wanted to take a look at benchmark performance.

GPD offers two models of the Pocket 3. For $649 and up during crowdfunding, you can reserve a version with an Intel Pentium Silver N6000 processor, 8GB of RAM, and a 512GB SSD. Or for $997 and up you can reserve the higher-spec version with an Intel Core i7 Tiger Lake processor, twice the memory and storage, and a Thunderbolt 4 port.

That’s the version GPD sent me to test.

As you might expect from a little computer with Intel’s most powerful 11th-gen U-series processor, it scores well in single-core performance in tests like GeekBench and Cinebench, but lags behind the latest AMD Ryzen 5000U processors when it comes to multi-threaded performance in those same tests.

You’d think that thermal constraints would lead to throttling when putting such a powerful processor into such a small space… and you’d probably be right in at least some situations. For example, an MSI Prestige 14 thin and light laptop I tested earlier this year has a slightly less powerful Intel Core i7-1185G7 processor, but the MSI laptop notched a higher score in PCMark than the 8 inch GPD Pocket 3.

But that said, the Pocket 3 still came out well ahead of other Intel-powered devices including handhelds like the One Mix 4 and ONEXPLAYER mini laptops, and laptops like the Lenovo ThinkPad X1 Nano in that general-purpose performance test.

When it comes to graphics performance, the GPD Pocket 3 certainly isn’t the most powerful system around, but its Iris Xe integrated graphics should be enough to handle light gaming duties on the go.

One thing that likely helps the GPD Pocket 3 out is that it has a pretty speedy SSD with read/write speeds up to nearly 3500MB/s and 2800MB/s, respectively according to CrystalDiskMark.

But when looking at all the benchmarks above, there’s something you may not know about the Pocket 3: it’s not left-handed. At least not all the time, but it’s been fighting with its left hand in all the comparison charts above.

That’s because I ran those tests with the GPD Pocket 3 running at its “nominal” setting with power limits in the 15-20W range. But if you enter the computer’s UEFI/BIOS settings by hitting the Del key during startup, there’s an option to change the TDP Boot Mode to “Up” or “Down” configurations depending on whether you want to prioritize performance or power consumption.

Here are some benchmark results showing how performance varies between the Down (12-15W), Nominal (15-20W), and Up (20W-25W) settings.

As you can see, boosting the TDP level results in significant performance gains across the board, whether you’re looking at CPU or graphics performance. And reducing it leads to a significant decrease in scores.

It’s nice to have the option to tweak the performance level… although I cannot say for certain if the version of the Pocket 3 that ships to customers will be quite as configurable. GPD does have a habit of sending pre-release hardware to reviewers that have more features unlocked in the UEFI Settings utility than customers will find in the retail versions.

If the retail version of the Pocket 3 does in fact have an unlocked BIOS that allows you to adjust the TDP, just keep in mind that you’ll likely get the longest battery life on the “Down” setting, and the shortest on the “Up” setting.

For some tasks, it makes little difference which version you use. For example, I’ve been able to consistently stream YouTube videos for around 5 hours before the 38.5Wh battery died no matter which power setting the system was set at. But modern computers are pretty well optimized to stream video without using much power.

More resource-intensive tasks like gaming or video editing will likely run down the battery much more quickly in Up mode.

I’ll have more performance notes when the full review is ready. In the meantime, here’s my unboxing and first impressions video, in case you missed it:

And here’s a video showing how the modular ports work, allowing you to replace a USB port with Serial port module or a KVM module that allows you to connect the GPD Pocket 3 to a server or another PC with an HDMI cable and USB-C cable to use the little laptop as a portable external display and input device:

One other thing to keep in mind whenever looking at GPD hardware is that the company makes some of the most interesting devices in the mini-laptop space, but GPD is a small Chinese company that ships its products to customers worldwide while offering limited customer support.

The company has also made some mistakes in the past, like shipping hardware with the wrong components. So I’d only really recommend buying GPD gear if you’re the adventurous and tech savvy type willing to troubleshoot any problems that may arrive… and possibly willing to eat the cost if anything goes wrong and you’re unable to get your device repaired or get a refund.

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