A new paper concludes that hurricane damage is increasing

Replication isn’t only about repeating the exact same study.

Image of a hurricane approaching land.

Enlarge (credit: NOAA)

Hurricanes are fed by warm ocean waters, so it's expected that we'll see larger, more dangerous storms as the planet continues to heat up due to climate change. These storms also have a major economic impact—Katrina is thought to have knocked a full percentage off the US' GDP in 2005. As such, we might expect to see hurricane-driven economic damages to be increasing over time.

But there's a lot of statistical noise in that system. Many storms miss the US entirely, and others miss the major urban centers and damage sparsely populated areas. The growth of wealth over time, as well as things like changing business codes, also complicate the analysis. As a result, detecting any change in damages is extremely difficult, and studies have come to very different conclusions about whether there's a trend or not.

But a new study suggests that the most powerful storms are in fact increasing. And perhaps just as significantly, its findings are consistent with a study of natural disasters published just a month ago, even though the two used very different methods.

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Partisan differences show up in reasons why Americans support NASA

Democrats want it for the environment, Republicans want it for national security.

 L-R: NASA Deputy Administrator Robert Seamans, Marshall Space Flight Center Director Wernher von Braun, and President John F. Kennedy.

Enlarge / L-R: NASA Deputy Administrator Robert Seamans, Marshall Space Flight Center Director Wernher von Braun, and President John F. Kennedy. (credit: NASA)

Almost two-thirds of Americans agree that the space program's costs are justified. And fewer think that NASA's budget should be reduced or abolished than at any time since 1986. Those were two of the results from polling conducted by Gallup for the 50th anniversary of the Moon landing. The poll found a clear upward trend for support for space exploration, starting at 41% in 1979 and rising to 64% by 2019.

But much less is known about why different Americans are in favor of space exploration. That would be useful information for policymakers—of all stripes—who hope to convince the public to open their wallets. It's a question that David Burbach, a political scientist at the US Naval War College in Rhode Island, has sought to answer in a new study published in the journal Space Policy.

Crossed priorities

Previous work has identified demographic or social differences in public support for the space program. Being young, white, male, or more highly educated all correlate with greater support for NASA than being older, non white, female, or having a lower educational attainment. Evangelical Christians are more lukewarm on the idea than the rest of the nation, but as it turns out there's not much of a split between Republican and Democratic voters on the topic.

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Definitive Editon angespielt: Das Age of Empires 2 für Könige

Die 27 Einzelspielerkampagnen sollen für rund 200 Stunden Beschäftigung sorgen, dazu kommen Verbesserungen bei der Grafik und Bedienung sowie eine von Grund auf neu programmierte Gegner- oder Begleit-KI: Die Definitive Edition von Age of Empires 2 ist …

Die 27 Einzelspielerkampagnen sollen für rund 200 Stunden Beschäftigung sorgen, dazu kommen Verbesserungen bei der Grafik und Bedienung sowie eine von Grund auf neu programmierte Gegner- oder Begleit-KI: Die Definitive Edition von Age of Empires 2 ist erhältlich. (Age of Empires, Microsoft)

The Mandalorian’s first episode is a no-brainer reason to pay for Disney+

A bounty hunter’s surprising journey in a post-Empire world: Giddy up, space cowboy.

While Disney+ debuts today with a healthy slew of classic films and new series, its biggest day-one draw has to be Star Wars' first live-action TV series, The Mandalorian. Ahead of its launch, we wondered how well the show, about a bounty hunter living in the era between Episodes VI and VIII, might lean into the archetype of space westerns. Today, we now know that this is a full yee-haw and yippy-ki-yay of a gunslinging time with a new, faceless, grizzled anti-hero.

Even better, by the first episode's end, the reveal of his surprising journey had me shouting a hearty "whaaaaat?!" It's been a while since a TV series pilot has had me this excited.

This review of the series' pilot episode contains mild plot spoilers—and errs on the side of vague descriptions.

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Ublock Origin und Adblock Plus: Chrome 80 soll Adblocker einschränken

Google nimmt umfangreiche Schnittstellenänderungen am Chrome-Browser vor. Diese schränken Adblocker wie Ublock Origin und Adblock Plus deutlich ein. Nun hat Google eine erste Vorschau mit der Entwicklerversion des Chrome 80 veröffentlicht. (Chrome, Goo…

Google nimmt umfangreiche Schnittstellenänderungen am Chrome-Browser vor. Diese schränken Adblocker wie Ublock Origin und Adblock Plus deutlich ein. Nun hat Google eine erste Vorschau mit der Entwicklerversion des Chrome 80 veröffentlicht. (Chrome, Google)

Bundestag: Telekom-Security-Experte durfte sich nicht zu Huawei äußern

Der frühere Bundesminister Röttgen hat den Leiter Group Security der Deutschen Telekom erst zu seiner Huawei-Anhörung ein- und dann wieder ausgeladen. Offenbar war der Standpunkt von Thomas Tschersich nicht erwünscht. (Huawei, Datenschutz)

Der frühere Bundesminister Röttgen hat den Leiter Group Security der Deutschen Telekom erst zu seiner Huawei-Anhörung ein- und dann wieder ausgeladen. Offenbar war der Standpunkt von Thomas Tschersich nicht erwünscht. (Huawei, Datenschutz)

Init-System: Debian soll erneut über Systemd entscheiden

Die Pflege von Alternativen zu Systemd wird für das Debian-Projekt immer schwieriger. Der aktuelle Projektleiter plant deshalb ein Urabstimmung darüber, ob das Projekt diese Alternativen überhaupt noch unterstützen soll oder eben nicht. (Debian, Linux)…

Die Pflege von Alternativen zu Systemd wird für das Debian-Projekt immer schwieriger. Der aktuelle Projektleiter plant deshalb ein Urabstimmung darüber, ob das Projekt diese Alternativen überhaupt noch unterstützen soll oder eben nicht. (Debian, Linux)

‘Copyright’ Sting Targeting 15-Year-Old Backfires With Arrest Warrants & Record Sales

A fake ‘copyright agent’ who instructed a 15-year-old Thai girl to make cartoon character krathong floats and then tried to extort her for alleged copyright infringement is watching his plan backfire spectacularly. Not only is a warrant out for his arrest but the publicity generated by the scam has massively boosted demand for the girl’s products, which help finance her education.

Source: TF, for the latest info on copyright, file-sharing, torrent sites and more. We also have VPN reviews, discounts, offers and coupons.

Krathong float (credit)

Loi Krathong is an annual festival celebrated in Thailand and some neighboring countries during which ‘krathong’ (decorated baskets) are floated on a river.

These beautiful items are often made by locals looking to generate relatively small sums to help support their families and in some cases fund their education. Sadly, there are others who see the creations as an opportunity to generate cash for themselves in an entirely more sinister fashion.

According to local media reports, earlier this month a 15-year-old girl known as ‘Orm’ or ‘Orn’ (we’ll settle on the former) was contacted on Facebook by a stranger who placed an order for 136 krathong floats. The order carried specific instructions for them to be adorned with faces of cartoon characters owned by Japanese company San-X.

When Orm took 30 completed floats to a local mall, at the request of a supposed “copyright agent” she was reportedly arrested by police for ‘copyright infringement’. She was told to pay a fine of 50,000 baht, around US$1,650, a figure that was later negotiated down to 5,000 baht, US$1,650, by her grandfather, a former policeman.

“After receiving the order, I made krathong baskets from 8am to 1.30am the next day so that I could fill the order, only to be arrested,” Orm said.

“Normally I do not make any basket with a copyrighted character. This customer stressed they wanted copyrighted characters. After being arrested I cried all night because I have never faced such legal action before.”

The action against the teenager provoked outcry in the community after the chief of a local police station said it had worked with the ‘copyright agent’ on the sting operation, Bangkok Post reported.

However, all was not what it seemed. TAC Consumer PLC, which represents San-X, issued a statement stating that it had not participated in the operation against the teenager and had assigned one of its lawyers to the case. But worse was to come.

After news of the scandal spread, other victims of the scam came forward, saying they too had been arrested and settled for even larger amounts having borrowed the money from family members. They identified the ‘copyright agent’ as the same man who targeted the teenager.

When news reached local TV, a reporter helped to track down the ‘copyright agent’, who was discovered to be a local motorcycle taxi driver called ‘Nan’ whose wife sells meatballs in the area.

Yesterday, as pressure mounted against local police, a commander announced that after 40 similar complaints were filed against the ‘copyright agent’, they would be seeking arrest warrants by the end of the week. While that news will be celebrated in its own right, the knock-on effect of all the publicity is doing wonders for Orm’s work.

After making 360 floats to sell during the Loy Krathong festival, people queued up to buy them. They sold out in an hour, making herself around 8,110 baht in profit, around US$267.00. She told local media she was “delighted” by the response having sold just 30 in previous years.

Half of the money will go towards her school fees and the rest will go to her family to help with household expenses.

Source: TF, for the latest info on copyright, file-sharing, torrent sites and more. We also have VPN reviews, discounts, offers and coupons.

Videospiellokalisierung: Lost in Translation

Damit Videospiele in möglichst viele Länder verkauft werden können, müssen sie übersetzt beziehungsweise lokalisiert werden. Ein kniffliger Job, denn die Textdatei eines Games hat oft auf den ersten Blick keine logische Struktur – dafür aber Hunderte S…

Damit Videospiele in möglichst viele Länder verkauft werden können, müssen sie übersetzt beziehungsweise lokalisiert werden. Ein kniffliger Job, denn die Textdatei eines Games hat oft auf den ersten Blick keine logische Struktur - dafür aber Hunderte Seiten. Von Nadine Emmerich (Games, Applikationen)

Frost Canyon: Intel plant NUCs mit sechs Kernen

Die hauseigene Mini-PC-Reihe wird erweitert: Als NUC10 vermarktet, werden die Systeme mit Hexacore-Prozessoren ausgestattet. Optional steckt eine 2,5-Zoll-Festplatte oder -SSD in den kleinen Rechnern. (Intel NUC, Intel)

Die hauseigene Mini-PC-Reihe wird erweitert: Als NUC10 vermarktet, werden die Systeme mit Hexacore-Prozessoren ausgestattet. Optional steckt eine 2,5-Zoll-Festplatte oder -SSD in den kleinen Rechnern. (Intel NUC, Intel)