
Enlarge / The Antarctic Ozone Hole on September 13, 2014, as observed by the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) on the Aura satellite. (credit: NASA)
Good news for the ozone layer was widely reported in November 2018: global efforts to phase out ozone-depleting substances had resulted in a slow but persistent recovery. Should that continue, even the worst damage could be on track to be repaired in the next 50 years or so.
But all that good news is not necessarily going to continue. A paper in Nature Geoscience this week identifies quite a few possible spanners in the works, all of which could delay ozone recovery by anything from years to decades.
A growing, then shrinking, hole
Roughly 90% of the ozone in our atmosphere can be found between 15km and 35km above the Earth's surface, in a band that plays a crucial role in absorbing harmful ultraviolet sunlight. In 1985, scientists detected dropping ozone levels in the stratosphere—the layer of the atmosphere that contains the ozone layer.