Here’s what the world’s most accurate weather model predicts for Irma

A potentially catastrophic hurricane will approach southern Florida this weekend.

Enlarge / 12z European operational model landfall location for Hurricane Irma. (credit: Ryan Maue/Twitter)

If you closely follow hurricane forecasting, you know that, in recent years, the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts has the best forecast model in the world based upon skill scores. Often, this intergovernmental organization of 34 nations produces the best forecasts for hurricane tracks. In some cases, during Hurricane Harvey, it even exceeded the skill of human forecasters at the National Hurricane Center.

For this reason, the European model now has an outsized influence on the forecasts for hurricanes around the world, including those in the Atlantic, and in particular Hurricane Irma which, at present, threatens the Caribbean Islands as well as the southeastern United States. How much influence? Take a look at this plot of a bunch of different models from Wednesday morning. Note the dark blue line on the left-hand side of the forecast tracks—that's the official track forecast from the National Hurricane Center that was issued at 5am ET. 

Now, you may be wondering, "why is the official forecast so far to the left, when all of the other models had moved east?" The answer is the European model. This forecast system has superior hardware to run its calculations. But more importantly it has a method by which it better assimilates real-world data—observations from weather networks around the world, atmospheric soundings, reconnaissance aircraft, and much more—into its calculations.

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Dealmaster: Get a Dell XPS upgradeable tower with Core i7 CPU for just $599

Plus a bunch of Labor Day deals that are still alive!

Greetings, Arsians! Courtesy of our friends at TechBargains, we're back with a bunch of new deals to share. Now you can get a Dell XPS 8910 tower desktop, complete with Core i7 CPU, 8GB of RAM, and 1TB hard drive for just $599. This sleek tower is originally priced at $949, so now's the time to grab it if you've been looking to update your at-home or at-work PC.

Check out the rest of the deals below.

Ars Technica may earn compensation for sales from links on this post through affiliate programs.

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Kobo takes on Audible with $10 per month audiobook subscriptions

Kobo is probably the third best-known eBook provider, which is to say that it’s the one you probably keep forgetting exists. The company offers a line of eBook readers as well as apps for Android, iOS, Windows, Mac, and even BlackBerry. And now you can use those apps to do more than read eBooks. you […]

Kobo takes on Audible with $10 per month audiobook subscriptions is a post from: Liliputing

Kobo is probably the third best-known eBook provider, which is to say that it’s the one you probably keep forgetting exists. The company offers a line of eBook readers as well as apps for Android, iOS, Windows, Mac, and even BlackBerry. And now you can use those apps to do more than read eBooks. you […]

Kobo takes on Audible with $10 per month audiobook subscriptions is a post from: Liliputing

House passes law to accelerate adoption of self-driving technology

The House bill preempts state laws, creates a fast track for self-driving cars.

Enlarge / Pilot models of the Uber self-driving car at the Uber Advanced Technologies Center in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (credit: ANGELO MERENDINO/AFP/Getty Images)

The House of Representatives on Wednesday overwhelmingly approved legislation designed to streamline rules governing self-driving cars. The legislation passed unanimously in a voice vote.

In a highly polarized era, the debate over self-driving cars has been remarkable for its lack of ideological divisions. Self-driving technology is advancing rapidly in Detroit and Silicon Valley, and the sponsors of the House bill sought to ensure that legal barriers wouldn't slow down adoption of the technology. Insiders told Ars that there were few divisions between Democrats and Republicans working on the legislation.

In an e-mailed statement, Caleb Watney, an analyst at the R Street Institute, praised the bill, arguing that it will "help clear regulatory roadblocks to developing and deploying driverless cars, while still maintaining important tools to ensure public safety."

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In a blast from the past, Logitech releases a new trackball

It’s the company’s first new trackball in nearly a decade.

Logitech

Of all the pointing devices that have been invented, the most neglected is probably the trackball. Trackball fans swear by them, arguing that they're kinder to wrists and hence a good choice if you suffer from repetitive strain injury or joint problems. But they've never quite made it into the mainstream.

Logitech is hoping to bring the trackball back with its new MX Ergo trackball, announced today and shipping later this month. The $99 wireless trackball is a thumbball design, with your hand resting on it as if it were a mouse and pointing done with the thumb. The angle of the trackball can be adjusted between 0 and 20 degrees to help you find the angle that's most comfortable for your wrist. Beyond the ball, there's a tilting scroll wheel and a DPI switch to toggle between normal and high precision modes.

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Perfect 10 Takes Giganews to Supreme Court, Says It’s Worse Than Megaupload

After filing a lawsuit against Giganews for alleged piracy, Perfect 10 has been continually defeated by the Usenet provider. Now, with a final throw of the dice, the company has filed an appeal with the Supreme Court, bemoaning the efforts of the courts, Justice Department and Congress, while claiming that Giganews offered 200 times more infringing movies than the infamous Megaupload.

Source: TF, for the latest info on copyright, file-sharing, torrent sites and ANONYMOUS VPN services.

Adult publisher Perfect 10 has developed a reputation for being a serial copyright litigant.

Over the years the company targeted a number of high-profile defendants, including Google, Amazon, Mastercard, and Visa. Around two dozen of Perfect 10’s lawsuits ended in cash settlements and defaults, in the publisher’s favor.

Perhaps buoyed by this success, the company went after Usenet provider Giganews but instead of a company willing to roll over, Perfect 10 found a highly defensive and indeed aggressive opponent. The initial copyright case filed by Perfect 10 alleged that Giganews effectively sold access to Perfect 10 content but things went badly for the publisher.

In November 2014, the U.S. District Court for the Central District of California found that Giganews was not liable for the infringing activities of its users. Perfect 10 was ordered to pay Giganews $5.6m in attorney’s fees and costs. Perfect 10 lost again at the Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit.

As a result of these failed actions, Giganews is owned millions by Perfect 10 but the publisher has thus far refused to pay up. That resulted in Giganews filing a $20m lawsuit, accusing Perfect 10 and President Dr. Norman Zada of fraud.

With all this litigation boiling around in the background and Perfect 10 already bankrupt as a result, one might think the story would be near to a conclusion. That doesn’t seem to be the case. In a fresh announcement, Perfect 10 says it has now appealed its case to the US Supreme Court.

“This is an extraordinarily important case, because for the first time, an appellate court has allowed defendants to copy and sell movies, songs, images, and other copyrighted works, without permission or payment to copyright holders,” says Zada.

“In this particular case, evidence was presented that defendants were copying and selling access to approximately 25,000 terabytes of unlicensed movies, songs, images, software, and magazines.”

Referencing an Amicus brief previously filed by the RIAA which described Giganews as “blatant copyright pirates,” Perfect 10 accuses the Ninth Circuit of allowing Giganews to copy and sell trillions of dollars of other people’s intellectual property “because their copying and selling was done in an automated fashion using a computer.”

Noting that “everything is done via computer” these days and with an undertone that the ruling encouraged others to infringe, Perfect 10 says there are now 88 companies similar to Giganews which rely on the automation defense to commit infringement – even involving content owned by people in the US Government.

“These exploiters of other people’s property are fearless. They are copying and selling access to pirated versions of pretty much every movie ever made, including films co-produced by treasury secretary Steven Mnuchin,” Nada says.

“You would think the justice department would do something to protect the viability of this nation’s movie and recording studios, as unfettered piracy harms jobs and tax revenues, but they have done nothing.”

But Zada doesn’t stop at blaming Usenet services, the California District Court, the Ninth Circuit, and the United States Department of Justice for his problems – Congress is to blame too.

“Copyright holders have nowhere to turn other than the Federal courts, whose judges are ridiculously overworked. For years, Congress has failed to provide the Federal courts with adequate funding. As a result, judges can make mistakes,” he adds.

For Zada, those mistakes are particularly notable, particularly since at least one other super high-profile company was shut down in the most aggressive manner possible for allegedly being involved in less piracy than Giganews.

Pointing to the now-infamous Megaupload case, Perfect 10 notes that the Department of Justice completely shut that operation down, filing charges of criminal copyright infringement against Kim Dotcom and seizing $175 million “for selling access to movies and songs which they did not own.”

“Perfect 10 provided evidence that [Giganews] offered more than 200 times as many full length movies as did megaupload.com. But our evidence fell on deaf ears,” Zada complains.

In contrast, Perfect 10 adds, a California District Court found that Giganews had done nothing wrong, allowed it to continue copying and selling access to Perfect 10’s content, and awarded the Usenet provider $5.63m in attorneys fees.

“Prior to this case, no court had ever awarded fees to an alleged infringer, unless they were found to either own the copyrights at issue, or established a fair use defense. Neither was the case here,” Zada adds.

While Perfect 10 has filed a petition with the Supreme Court, the odds of being granted a review are particularly small. Only time will tell how this case will end, but it seems unlikely that the adult publisher will enjoy a happy ending, one in which it doesn’t have to pay Giganews millions of dollars in attorney’s fees.

Source: TF, for the latest info on copyright, file-sharing, torrent sites and ANONYMOUS VPN services.

Deals of the Day (9-06-2017)

Need a new mouse, keyboard, monitor, USB flash drive, cable modem, or router? Amazon’s got you covered with a 1-day sale on select PC accessories. Or if you need smartphone accessories there are some good deals on those too: if you’re looking for a portable battery for charging your phone on the go I’d normally […]

Deals of the Day (9-06-2017) is a post from: Liliputing

Need a new mouse, keyboard, monitor, USB flash drive, cable modem, or router? Amazon’s got you covered with a 1-day sale on select PC accessories. Or if you need smartphone accessories there are some good deals on those too: if you’re looking for a portable battery for charging your phone on the go I’d normally […]

Deals of the Day (9-06-2017) is a post from: Liliputing

As a general rule, body cam footage across US is not a public record

“The patchwork releases of body camera footage only sow further public distrust.”

Enlarge (credit: George Frey/Getty Images)

The California Legislature missed the September deadline to approve pending legislation that would have made police body cam footage a public record. The bill's failure keeps the Golden State largely in line with the rest of the nation.

The California measure, backed by the California News Publishers Association and opposed by law enforcement, would have set a uniform, statewide policy to make footage publicly available. Because of the bill's demise, California's police agencies are free to set their own guidelines. Some are open-access friendly and others are not.

"The patchwork releases of body camera footage only sow further public distrust with law enforcement and the communities they serve," Assemblyman Phil Ting, a Democrat of San Francisco, said in a statement. "California needs a statewide standard for the disclosure of footage. In order to let the footage speak for itself, we need more time to find the breakthrough in this bill and I will continue to engage with stakeholders to find a transparent and equitable solution."

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Bundesnetzagentur: Netzbetreiber wollen bei Glasfaser zusammenarbeiten

Reden die Netzbetreiber nicht öffentlich, ist die Bereitschaft hoch, beim Glasfaserausbau zusammenzuarbeiten. Der Chef der Bundesnetzagentur sprach am Mittwochabend in Berlin relativ offen zum Thema Gigabit, und betonte, er habe genug von Balkonreden. (Glasfaser, Open Access)

Reden die Netzbetreiber nicht öffentlich, ist die Bereitschaft hoch, beim Glasfaserausbau zusammenzuarbeiten. Der Chef der Bundesnetzagentur sprach am Mittwochabend in Berlin relativ offen zum Thema Gigabit, und betonte, er habe genug von Balkonreden. (Glasfaser, Open Access)